MOVEMENT, NOT CONTRADICTION
ALTMAN'S TIMELINE COLLAPSED FROM DECADES TO 'THOUSANDS OF DAYS'
“In the next five years, computer programs that can think will read legal documents and give medical advice. In the next decade, they will do assembly-line work and maybe even become companions.”
2021 Altman vs 2024 Altman: 'almost everything' compressed from decades to thousands of days. Honest label: MOVEMENT, not contradiction — different claims, different horizons. The 2021 five-year claim is now scoreable (2026). See the full 2021 essay record and the 2024 'Intelligence Age' record for complete context.
MOVEMENT, NOT CONTRADICTION
“It is possible that we will have superintelligence in a few thousand days (!); it may take longer, but I'm confident we'll get there.”
'The Intelligence Age,' 2024-09-23. Explicitly probabilistic — not a promise.
ORIGINAL SOURCEThe Intelligence Agesamaltman.com (first-party essay)
SOURCE
ORIGINAL SOURCEMoore's Law for Everythingsamaltman.com (first-party essay)