CONSISTENCY
KURZWEIL, 1999 → 2024: STILL 2029
“I've been consistent in saying 2029. In 1989, in The Age of Intelligent Machines, I bounded that between early-2020s and late-2030s; In The Age of Spiritual Machines in '99 I said 2029.”
Kurzweil's AGI-by-2029 prediction, held for over 25 years while everyone else moved their dates. Asked at SXSW 2024 whether he was revising it closer to today, he answered: 'No, I'm still saying 2029.' Not a reversal — a consistency entry, the anti-pattern to the timeline-slippers. Also a clash with LeCun on the timeline question. With 2029 now near, every AGI milestone reuses this quote.
CONSISTENCY
“No, I'm still saying 2029.”
SXSW 2024, in answer to 'are you revising that to something more closer to today?'
ORIGINAL SOURCESXSW 2024 session transcriptytscribe.com (video transcript)
SOURCE
ORIGINAL SOURCERay Kurzweil on Turing Tests, Brain Extenders, and AI EthicsWired (interview)