ALTMAN: SUPERINTELLIGENCE IN 'A FEW THOUSAND DAYS'
βIt is possible that we will have superintelligence in a few thousand days (!); it may take longer, but I'm confident we'll get there.β
From Altman's 'The Intelligence Age' essay. Explicitly probabilistic β never render as a promise of superintelligence within a decade. The 'few thousand days' clock resurfaces on schedule through roughly 2027β2030, which is what makes this entry reusable.
SOURCE
ORIGINAL SOURCEThe Intelligence Agesamaltman.com (first-party essay)